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What is an example of interest rate change in forex?
Let's use EUR/JPY. Say the BoJ (Bank of Japan) rate is 0.1% and ECB (European Central Bank) is around 0.5%. If BoJ increased interest rates to 0.5%, then their rates will be the same as ECB. However, these changes will entice investors to move their assets to Yen, because they want to get some profit from the changes. Such movement will cause the rise of demand on Yen so that its exchange rates against Euro will rise too.
On the contrary, if BoJ lowers their interest rates to 0.05%, investors will sell their Yens and move their investment into other kinds of assets like bonds, property, or another currency with higher interest, Yen's exchange rates will decrease.
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How do interest rates influence forex?
Interest rates add value to every country's currency. Higher interest rates in relation to a currency means it offers relatively higher return compared to any other currency. This way, the higher interest rates in a country, the demand for their currency will rise too because investors will want to have them.
The opposite may happen with lower interest rates. When a country's central bank lowers interest rates, the exchange rates will undergo depreciation. For instance, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut their interest rates twice in 2013. Even further, until December of that year, the governor repeatedly mentioned the possibility of a third cut. As a result, AUD became one of the worst major in 2013, having entered a bearish trend that went on until 2014.
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Are there any correlations between stock market indices and currencies?
As a matter of fact, yes. For instance, there is often a correlation between the rise of the US Dollar and strong gains in stock indices like Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P500. Similarly, a correlation has been observed between the Nikkei stock index and the Japanese Yen.
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What is the Employment Figures and its importance in forex analysis?
The employment amount depends on the jobs available. Active employees will affect the economic condition of the country significantly. The best economic condition is when there are more job vacancies available, so it will decrease the unemployed level. On the contrary, the economic contraction will cause the rise of the unemployed level that endangers the economy.
Some indicators of the employment figures are usually released in a month, and one of them is Non-Farm Payroll AS that attracts many traders' attention. The indicators determine the employment amount outside the agriculture sector as the reflection of the economic power of the United States. In other countries of major currencies such as Australia, Canada, and the Euro area, the indicator is called the Employment Change.
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