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GDP is published quarterly, and it is too long for companies to wait for GDP before making important decisions. Besides, different countries often have different methods of calculating GDP. Such a difference makes them practically incomparable.

Contrarily, an independent institution that counts PMI for many countries will certainly use a similar method. Unlike other economic reports published by government bodies, PMI is commonly held and published by private institutions. This ensures the independence of the survey and lends credibility to the result.

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The employment amount depends on the jobs available. Active employees will affect the economic condition of the country significantly. The best economic condition is when there are more job vacancies available, so it will decrease the unemployed level. On the contrary, the economic contraction will cause the rise of the unemployed level that endangers the economy.

Some indicators of the employment figures are usually released in a month, and one of them is Non-Farm Payroll AS that attracts many traders' attention. The indicators determine the employment amount outside the agriculture sector as the reflection of the economic power of the United States. In other countries of major currencies such as Australia, Canada, and the Euro area, the indicator is called the Employment Change.

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According to a study by the Bank of International Settlements that was originally published in 2013 and revised in 2016 about client flows in forex trading, the flow of institutional traders reflects a significantly superior alignment with future pricing than that of corporate and private traders' flows. To put it simply, the power imbalance in forex trading gives a huge advantage to institutional traders.

Their order flow is usually so powerful that it can drive the price to move in a certain direction, hence creating a trend. But don't lose hope just yet because fortunately, there is still a way to analyze market sentiment for retail traders, and that is through the Commitment of Traders data report.

Continue Reading at Guide to Analyzing Trend Based on COT Data

The value of CDS used as tool for fundamental analysis is based on the sovereign CDS. The current value of sovereign CDS can be used to predict the direction of currency movement of a country in the future. The higher the CDS of a country, the higher the risks of those countries. For example, the European crisis that happened in Eurozone worried investors and market analysts. It means the crisis influenced the value of CDS. Therefore the risk of bankruptcy would increase exponentially. It is due to the lack of investor's confidence in the value of those countries' currencies.

In the picture above, we could see 5-year CDS from Portugal, Greece, Italy, and Spain experienced sharp increases in February 2012. It showed that in medium to long-term, the crisis in Europe was still going to be the main news and could possibly crush Euro. We could see how the crisis affects Eurozone economic recovery, and consequently, the Euro.

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